News

MAP Adjunct Professor J.R.F. Hodgson, and Alumni W.D. Russell (2011) and M. Megannety (2011) recently delivered a report to Transport Canada entitled “Exploring Plausible Futures for Marine Transportation in the Canadian Arctic: A Scenarios’ Based Approach.”

The goal of the report is to identify and evaluate possible alternative ‘futures’ for marine transportation in the Canadian Arctic, using a ‘scenarios approach.’ This objective stems from an appreciation that the Arctic is presently experiencing numerous significant and fast moving trends and developments taking place across a diverse range of economic, societal, safety, security and environmental fields. Given the significant complexity and global reach of these developments, traditional forecasting approaches have proven to be largely ineffective in providing valid insights into how marine transportation in the Canadian Arctic might be expected to unfold.  This report uses the scenario based approach, an alternative emerging methodology that is directed at developing a limited number of plausible, challenging and contrasting scenarios for consideration and debate by industry and policy leaders.

Click here for a copy of the full text of the report.